Meridian

A world model for exponential times.

An interactive map that lets you drill from the globe into a district, and watch plausible outcomes shift as the timeline runs forward.

By introduction only
Normalcy bias

We expect linear. Reality compounds.

The gap between what we expect and what arrives is where risk accumulates.

LINEAREXPECTATIONEXPONENTIALREALITYNOWLATER
The gap

Capability races ahead of impact.

Economic uptake follows capability on a different clock.

RELATIVE SCALEAI CAPABILITYECONOMIC IMPACTGAPTODAYHORIZON
World model

A world model, not a forecast.

The model drives every value the map shows. The front end does not add or edit numbers.

LANGUAGE MODELpredicts the next wordTheworldhasa brightfutureWORLD MODELpredicts the next stateNOW
Drill down

Globe. Region. Country. District.

Each level shows outcome bands and metric cascades for the view in hand, moving with the selected year.

GLOBEREGIONCOUNTRYDISTRICT
Outcome bands

Possible. Probable. Preferred. Wild Card.

Each band shows the chance of reaching its stated outcome by the selected year. The bands can overlap; they do not sum to one hundred.

TODAYHORIZON
  • WILD CARD
    An outcome no one priced in.
  • POSSIBLE
    An achievable outcome under favorable conditions.
  • PROBABLE
    What signals point toward today.
  • PREFERRED
    The outcome worth planning around.
Dated record

A view should leave a record.

Meridian is designed to keep a dated record of its views and the assumptions behind them, so each one can be checked against what happens.

Access

A private surface, by introduction only.